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Closing the Energy Gap

Publication Date: 
18 Nov 2008
Body: 

In the next 20 years a substantial amount of the UK’s existing electricity generation capacity will close. How this capacity is replaced will have a major impact on the UK’s ability to meet its international and domestic carbon emissions reduction targets.

To explore this issue WWF-UK and Greenpeace commissioned Pöyry energy consultants to look at the implications for the UK electricity sector of meeting the UK’s share of the EU renewable energy target. This requires the UK to produce 15% of its energy from renewables by 2020.

The report was based on the assumption (supported by government analysis) that there was around 76GW of connected capacity in 2007. Of this, 22.5GW is expected to close by 2020. Pöyry constructed various scenarios of energy demand and renewable energy growth to ascertain whether these technologies would be able to meet the so-called ’energy gap’.

This report is a summary of the report Implications of the UK meeting its 2020 renewable energy targets.

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The truth about the energy gap: a response to John Hutton

John Hutton at the Labour Party Conference 2007

John Hutton committing to take action on climate change at the 2007 Labour Party Conference © Rose / Greenpeace

"No coal plus no nuclear equals no lights," said Business Secretary John Hutton (pictured above, proving he really has heard of climate change, honest) today.

Bearing in mind the findings of leading energy consultants Pöyry (pdf) that we don't need new nuclear or new coal to keep the lights on - we just need the government to meet its own, existing targets for energy efficiency and renewables - he might better have said "no vision plus no guts equals no chance of averting catastrophic climate change". Which at least has some basis in fact.

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Keeping the lights on - without new coal

Keeping the lights on

Keeping the lights on - without new coal

"[U]nless we want to risk our security of supply and face greater cost burdens, stations such as Kingsnorth must be part of the energy mix."

 

"Currently, we have to use a mix of energy sources to power our country - fossil fuel, renewable energy and nuclear power. Together they provide us with a reliable electricity supply. And although the use of low-carbon energy sources is growing, fossil fuel will continue to generate power, not just here but around the globe."

 

Senior government and Big Energy have been working hard to propagate the idea that, to keep the lights on, we need to build new coal plants.

So, is it true?

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It's the environment, stupid

One of the world's premier economic forums, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), has openly identified environmental degradation as the greatest threat we face. While this is hardly news to those of us who've long been aware of the grave damage we've been inflicting on the planet in recent decades, for a mainstream economic organisation such as OECD it represents a fairly seismic change in thinking.

The key theme of its new report, 'Environmental Outlook to 2030', is that tackling climate change, pollution and other environmental hazards is urgently necessary to avoid irreversible damage.

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Our top ten stories of 2007

2007 is being hailed as the year in which the environmental movement turned a corner and climate change leapt to the top of the agenda. Al Gore and the IPCC won the Nobel Peace Prize; Climate Camp became a household name; and an unsuspecting humpback whale named Mister Splashy Pants became a global phenomenon.

So what were you most interested in? This list of our ten most-read blogs on our website last year (well, since we launched the blog in April) shows, unsurprisingly, that for most of our readers, it was climate change, climate change, climate change. Oh, and Mister Splashy Pants...


1. The Convenient Solution

The energy debate ruled a lot of 2007, and our film on nuclear power vs decentralised energy was far and away our most popular blog of the year, with around three times more traffic than any other story. With the government about to make its announcement on nuclear (again), the debate's as relevant now as it was then - so it's worth a watch if you haven't seen it yet.

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The real solution to climate change

We recently launched a new film about the real solution to climate change (clue: it's not nuclear power - and the film explains exactly why not). The film's been sent to every MP in the country and is making its way around the interweb nicely. But we think its message - that the UK needs a new, and sane, energy system now - is crucial and we want to push it out further. So we've produced this new trailer.

There are plenty of ways you can help us get the word out: write to your MP asking them to watch the film; embed the film or the trailer on your website, blog or MySpace page; send it to a friend; Hugg it, Digg it or add it to your StumbleUpon favourites.

Climate change is happening. We know exactly what needs to be done to stop it. The technologies already exist. Let's do it.

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Wake up and smell the carbon

Greenland glacier

Sometimes world-changing pronouncements aren’t delivered on stone tablets accompanied by thunder bolts, but in densely written reports, packed with charts, footnotes and appendices.


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Decentralised energy: what are we waiting for?

Update - July 2007: We've launched a new film about why nuclear power can't stop climate change and how a combination of renewables, efficiency and combined heat and power can: watch The Convenient Solution.

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Marine reserves needed for cod's sake

18 Dec 2006

The last cod - requiem for a British culinary icon?

The 'last cod' was today ceremoniously presented to the government by Greenpeace campaigners as politicians across Europe look set to wipe out the fish.

The metre-long model was carried through London by pall-bearers, accompanied by a floral arrangement, before reaching its final resting home at the government's environment department in Westminster.

The ceremony comes on the eve of the announcement of next year's fishing quotas by Europe's Fishing Ministers, who are widely expected to ignore scientific advice calling for a halt to cod fishing. In October, scientists from the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea recommended for the seventh consecutive year that no cod should be caught in order to save beleaguered stocks in the North Sea.

But Greenpeace argue that even if the politicians were to heed the scientists' warnings - 'something they have failed to do for the previous six years' and enforce a 'zero catch' allowance for cod, this would not go far enough to protect dwindling commercial fish stocks or the ocean environment.

The answer, according to Greenpeace, is to establish a network of fully protected marine reserves. Areas designated as marine reserves would be guarded from fishing, waste dumping and the extraction of oil, sand and gravel; these would be the ocean equivalent of national parks. However, the UK along with other countries, including France and Denmark, have tried to wreck the part of a current piece of legislation being considered by politicians, called the Marine Strategy Directive, which could introduce marine reserves in European seas.

Willie Mackenzie, oceans campaigner for Greenpeace, said: "Cod in the North Sea will be wiped out if fishing is allowed to continue. This isn't just bad news for the ecology of the oceans, it'll be devastating for the fishing industry.

"Fisheries ministers across Europe have completely failed to deal with the problem, and it's entirely obvious that responsibility should be taken from them. It's high time for Environment ministers to step in and protect cod and defend the oceans.

"But even implementing zero quotas will not be enough to protect both the fishing industry and the full variety of marine life; they must establish a network of large-scale, fully protected marine reserves."

For more information, contact the Greenpeace press office on 020 7865 8255.

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Marine reserves